PRE-MATCH TRADING 29.1.2010, MATCHES TO FOLLOW

Not a good variety of matches today. Till now we do not have any significant movements at the odds.

I will be watching Hamburg Fortuna, Duisburg and G Furt's odds as the kick off time approaches...

Update1 Duisburg is going down from 2,64 (back) to  2,56 (lay) good liquidity

PRE-MATCH TRADING 11.1.2010, MATCHES TO FOLLOW

Today there are some matches which have made some remarkable movement.

1) Manchester City vs Blackburn, the home team 's odds (1,5) are moving up, great liquidity.
2) Belenenses vs Setumbal, the home team's odds (2,06) are moving down, medium liquidity
3) Anagenisi Karditsas vs Agrotikos, the home team's odds (2,08) are moving up, poor liquidity
4) Galipoli vs Modena, the home team's odds (2,64) are moving up, poor liquidity

Update 1: Huge profits at Galipoli's match. The odds have climbed at 2,92!!! The other trades where profitable too (excl .Belenences that did not change!).

cut your losses and LET YOUR PROFITS RIDE!!

CARLING CUP: BLACKBURN vs ASTON VILLA

Today, 5.1.2010 there is a match for the Carling Cup, Blackburn vs Aston Villa. If Aston Villa show some character and come away with a good result it will affect, in a positive way, the price of the game with Wigan at 9.1.2010. Blackburn today will be aggressive as manager Sam Allardyce has sacrificed FA CUP for Carling CUP...

1st CASE STUDY: Wigan - Aston Villa @ January 9 2010

Aston Villa at the exchanges today can be backed at 2.44 . Wigan is a fighting home team but i feel that punters near the day of the match will back the villans. So what happens when punters back hugely a team??

Answer: Aston Villa' s price will go doooooooooooowwwwwwwwnnnnn. Don't get greedy, look for 2-5 ticks. Also set your stop loss also at 2 ticks.

Attention!!! I am posting before the start of the FA CUP games between Aston Villa vs Blackburn and Wigan vs Hull. If Aston Villa today has a bad result, will make the 2.44 (price of the match with Wigan) drift to the opposite direction. If Wigan today has a bad game with Hull I expect the price of the match with Aston Villa to move early.

So if there is decent liquidity I would open my position accordingly as i watch live the game between Aston Villa vs Blackburn and Wigan vs Hull.

Update 3.1.2010 Aston Villa's odds are shortening. Now we could lay at 2.42 but lets see what happens if we wait a little more...

Update 5.1.2010 Aston Villa' s price is drifting to the opposite direction. Lay has raised up to 2.48 with a tension to rise even higher. On the other hand other bookies are keeping the odds down to 2.3 (Expect) and 2.15 (William Hill). Let's see what will happen at the day of the match...

Update 7.1.2010 Aston Villa s price is going again down. Now punters can back at 2.42

Update 9.1.2010: Match has been POSTPONED due to failure of the heating system at the stadium.

PRE-MATCH TRADING

After many kind requests i have decided to create this blog in order to help all of you (and myself of course) in the section of pre-match trading.

WHAT IS PRE - MATCH TRADING

Practically speaking "pre - match trading" means odd trading of a given match - game (could be football, basketball, tennis etc) before it starts. A punter can trade the odds of a game at the betting exchange services (betfair, betdaq, wbx, betsson etc) .

In my next posts i will try to explain why this kind of trading is a very low risk strategy concerning a punters bankroll. Furthermore i will be posting my game selections according to my own strategy.

Usually, i open a position (back or lay) several days before the start of the event and i am closing my position when 2-5 ticks come to my favour. This means that i usually go for a 2-5 ticks profit.

Happy 2010!!
I am wishing Health and Hapiness for Everyone!!!