This blog is aiming to explore the inner psychology of the odds before the start of a match.

When and why are they moving??

Can we take advantage of this movement??

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Trading Without Risking The Bank

This is what I call trading without risking the bank.



 Profit at all incomes before the start of the match.

Update1: In order to be more accurate to what I am posting here, I have corrected the header and the text of this post according to the comments below  (see the comments here)

Sunday Early Match, 7.2.2010

After yesterday's big success I will consentrate in one early match for today:

Birmingham vs Wolves, the home team odds are climbing high from 1,91 (Lay)!! Great liquidity!!

Lets see how it will be today

Update 1: Urahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!! I love it! Now its up to 2(Back) and I am out!!! I do not want to get greedy as I have broken my rules trading with the 60% of my whole bankroll here in one match. As I have already posted in the past, usually I trade with the 60% of my bank spreading the risk over three matches.
I am already out but the odds can climb more. 

Here is the rally:

Saturday, February 6, 2010

PRE-MATCH TRADING 6.2.2010, MATCHES TO FOLLOW

Today we have many interesting games to follow. For the early matches:

1) Liverpool vs Everton, the home teams odds are moving up from 1,90 (Lay). Great liquidity. We deal with a big derby here and the odds are going to move further (could be at any direction so be ready to change position).

2) Wolsburg vs Bayern, Bayern's odds are moving up (slightly). Wolfburg this year  has played some very poor games at home so Punters will definitely back Bayern Munich. I am waiting for a movement here. Great liquidity

3) Triestina vs Sassuolo, Sassuolo is at the head of the division (serie B) and I think that at 3,15 the odds are too high. Here it could change the favourite. The bad thing about this match is that the liquidity is very poor and big stakes won't get matched. I will open my position with smaller stake and if the liquidity gets better I will reconsider.

Update1: Awsome profit with Liverpool!!! 
Bayern is going well as it seems that punters were backing and made the odds to fall.
Nothing on Sassuolo yet but I do not mind because i could get matched only 100 euros. I will wait a little more for Sassuolo closing my position on the others with a nice profit. Good stuff for only 3 hours watching!!
Update 2: Closing position at Sassuolo with loss. The draw odds has fallen causing upward trends at both teams odds. 

Positive balance 



Thursday, February 4, 2010

TODAY 4.2.2010

I don't see any interesting movements at today's matches.

Anyway I will watch them continuously and I will post if something significant happens

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

PRE-MATCH TRADING 3.2.2010, MATCHES TO FOLLOW

Today there are several interesting matches: I will be following:

1) Fulham vs Portsmouth, the home teams odds moved up from 1,80 (Lay). Now they are having a falling trend from 1,90 to 1,86 (back). Great liquidity. I will be trading on the trends
2) Blackpool vs West Brom, West Brom's odds are moving down from 2,45 to 2,3. Now it seems that the odds have stoped moving but probably near the kick off a rally could start again . Great liquidity
3) Leeds vs Tottenham, Tottemham's odds are moving up from 1,90, I am following this trend as well!!! I expect nice movent here.Great liquidity.

I don't forget to set my exit strategy to 2-3 ticks and be disciplined.

Update 1. Great upwards trend for Fulham' odds now at 1,94. Thatssss great!!! 
Update 2. Great downwards moving for Tottenham' s odds from 1,97 now they are at 1,89. Thats a nice day!!!

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

TODAY 2.2.2010

As I am ill today I will not be trading. 

tomorrow :)

Monday, February 1, 2010

PRE-MATCH TRADING 1.2.2010, MATCHES TO FOLLOW

Poor variety of matches today. I will be following:
1) Sunderland vs Stoke, the home teams odds are moving up from 2,20. Great liquidity
2) Bury vs Rochdale, Rochdale's odds are moving down from 2,56. Medium liquidity

I will be watching for an opportunity at Ravenna and Kerkyra.
At the match between Aachen vs Kaiserslautern could occur a change of the favorite watch out.

Movements usually are bigger as the kick off time is approaching

Update 1 Rochdale after the down movement which have generated a small 3 tick profit, now is going up. I will follow the new trend.