This blog is aiming to explore the inner psychology of the odds before the start of a match.

When and why are they moving??

Can we take advantage of this movement??

Monday, February 28, 2011

Mike Bibby Buyout one Week After his Trade from Atlanta


Mike Bibby Buyout one Week After his Trade from Atlanta



Mike Bibby and his new (already got old) team, Washington Wizards, came out with a new surprising new deal: a buyout!

In a surprising decision the Wizards one week after getting him from Atlanta,  took the big decision to leave him giving up his entire salary for next season. If someone take in consideration that Bibby for the next year should get $6.2 million then the deal does not sound too bizarre. Washington got a great relieve on salary cap because they have saved a great deal of money.

Mike Bibby now has the chance to make his dream come true as he has the opportunity to sign with a title-contending team. Teams as Miami and Boston sound as a big challenge for him. It is obvious that these teams will fight for his signature.

If one of these teams signs up with Mike Bibby then the championship’s doors are opening widely for them.
Let’s see what happens

Sunday, February 27, 2011

ASHLEY COLE SHOOTS STUDENT WITH A RIFLE


ASHLEY COLE SHOOTS STUDENT WITH A RIFLE


Ashley Cole shoots student with a rifle? Oh man I can't believe it!
This one will have a tremendous influence in Chelsea’s odds at the match against Manchester United at Tuesday.

I just can't understand how he got a rifle at his club's Cobham training ground.

Ashley Cole just for fun had taken with him to training previous Sunday a .22 air rifle which probably is one of the most dangerous rifles obtainable without the need of a licence inside the United Kingdom.

Ashley Cole was playing with the gun within team's change room when he accidentally shot a student who was in the building.

Ashley Cole obviously was not aware that the rifle was loaded so he shooted without knowing that there was a student in front of him.

Hopefully the student now is ok as the team’s doctor took care of him immediately. The student was provided a couple of days off.

Now that the incident is widely known by the press, maybe it could influence Chelsea at the big derby against Manchester United at Tuesday

Manchester City vs Foulham


Manchester City vs Foulham



Great movement at Manchester City's odds. The odds are going up, no time to lose so I am going to catch the trend from 1,54(lay).


Liquidity is really excellent so it wont be difficult to get matched.

My eyes will be on final news concerning the formation of both team. Manchester has a superb attack so any news related to Manchester's  front line will be able to influence odds movement.

Update: Yeah!!

This is what I call betting (or better trading) without risk!! Profit without sweating!
I am closing my position here.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

INTER MILAN vs BAYERN MUNICH


INTER MILAN vs BAYERN MUNICH


Great movement of Inter's odds.
Diego Milito and Walter Samuel are off from today's match, so the latest news from Inter's team are pushing the odds up. The rally is beginning from 2,26 (lay) and I wait a big upwards movement.
It is a great opportunity for pre-match trading here...

Liquidity is great and bets are getting matched easily.

As we will get closer to the kick off watch out for other punters closing their position as this could make the odds go to the opposite side. Therefore set your goal going for fixed ticks and do not leave your position open.

UPDATE 1: Now its up on 2,50. This was an exellent drift.
Update 2: 2 hours before kick off, look where the odds have gone!!!





Sunday, November 28, 2010

Pre Match Trading | Kerkyra - Panathinaikos

Great opportunity after yesterdays Olympiakos defeat for Panathinaikos fans. Psychology of the fans is a great factor for pre match trading so we must take advantage of it! Panathinaikos odds against Kerkyra where last night at 1,74 (Back). After last night's Olympiakos defeat from AEK, the greatest rival for the Greek Superleague (Panathinaikos) has the biggest opportunity to win Kerkyra and to go straight into the first place of the greek classification.This is why the odds are droping! Panathinaikos already has a new coach at his bench and this has changed many things in this team.
So I will follow the trend backing Panathinaikos at 1,70.
Update 1 Odds keep falling...

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Martingale's betting technique - Danger!

Martingale's betting technique - May I ?

Every betting system will boost your earnings if used in combination with a staking plan. I'm certain right now there are punters around who will say that they came up with a reliable method that one could wager always the same amount with the same profit every time, however you'll find hardly anyone  to generate income using this method. Without doubt punters will experience several losing bets or trades and any revenue could easily fly away. This scenario it could be more painful if a punter is following a 'laying' system where he is taking action as being the bookie and provide odds on a final result that is not possible to happen.
Certainly the most awful staking plan according to my opinion is the well known Martingale betting technique! According to the myth, Mr Martingale appeared to be a gambler who came out with an "always winning" staking plan to always make profit at roulette. The pattern was going like this: Mr Martingale was betting €5 on red to win. If the ball stopped on black loosing the bet, he doubled his bet to €10 and then €20 and so on. By this pattern the gambler has to carry on doubling his bet till he make a winner and this only for winning his initial bet of €5. For people who do not know anything about roulette it would sound a foolproof system!! And even a bank saving technique! Ok all this until you loose everything! After some winning runs of winning €5 the loosing strikes will come over and gamblers will ruin the entire bank. The martingale betting technique could make a gambler to bet unbelievable numbers as €640, €1280 to win just €5. Why? It is simple, because a roulette hasn't got a memory! Practically the same colour can come over and over again even 13,14,15,16 (and even more) times in a raw...    Without an endless bank (hey is that possible?) Mr Martingale should, without a doubt, lose everything!
Defending your betting bank is the essential factor of success and every staking plan requires to take under consideration many strategical parameters. The consistency of winning results is a major issue here. The size of a punters bank in conjunction with a bad attitude to risk, could cause the end of a gambler’s carrier. When bets get up to a big percentage of the bank who is going to have the nerve to carry on?
Stay away from Mr Martingale's betting roulette tactic...


Is trading a sport event odds the same as gambling on a roulette...? Could a trader use the martingale staking plan to profit...? Could we implement an exit strategy from Martingale’s betting technique adopted in trading....? Stay tuned ;)

Saturday, May 1, 2010

Deportivo vs Zaragoza

Huge fall of Zaragoza's odds from 3:00 (back) to 2,70 (lay). There is plenty of space for the odds to go further down..

Update 1 It is a bit tricky 30 min before the kick off, watch out for traders closing their position, it could make the odds to go up (because they will lay Zaragoza).
Set a 3 tick stop loss

Update 2


Update 3 It went down to 2,58 (lay)